Re: שאר היורוליג
נשלח: 10 אפריל 2026, 21:51
מתסכל לראות כדורסל שרלוונטי אלינו בלי שום מושג לאיזו תוצאה לקוות
בדיוק בגלל זה החלטתי לא לראות
בית משוגעים
לא חושב.red in blood כתב: ↑10 אפריל 2026, 20:35 ושוב צריך להזכיר - מדברים על איזה אחוז מהתרחישים הדבר הזה קורה, לא מה הסיכוי.
לצורך העניין, יכול להיות שרשום על משהו שהוא קורה ב-20% מהתרחישים האלו, אבל אם כל התרחישים האלו דורשים שאולימפיאקוס יפסידו למילאנו ב-15 נקודות, אז זה הסיכוי הממשי הוא נמוך בהרבה.
קוד: בחירת הכל
=== Current status table ===
# Team GP W L Win% PF PA +/- Top 4 Top 6 Top 10
================================================================================================
1 Olympiacos 37 25 12 67.6% 3321 3068 253 Clinched Clinched Clinched
2 Valencia 37 24 13 64.9% 3323 3158 165 Clinched Clinched Clinched
3 Real Madrid 37 23 14 62.2% 3239 3074 165 Alive Clinched Clinched
4 Fener 37 23 14 62.2% 3033 2985 48 Alive Clinched Clinched
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 Hapoel 36 22 14 61.1% 3145 3018 127 Alive Alive Clinched
6 Zalgiris 36 21 15 58.3% 3136 2972 164 Alive Alive Clinched
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 Panathaniacos 37 21 16 56.8% 3217 3166 51 Eliminated Alive Clinched
8 Monaco 37 21 16 56.8% 3312 3197 115 Eliminated Alive Clinched
9 Crvena Zvezda 36 20 16 55.6% 3099 3049 50 Eliminated Alive Alive
10 Barcelona 37 20 17 54.1% 3072 3078 -6 Eliminated Eliminated Alive
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
11 Dubai 36 19 17 52.8% 3170 3145 25 Eliminated Eliminated Alive
12 Maccabi 36 18 18 50.0% 3213 3298 -85 Eliminated Eliminated Alive
13 Bayern 37 17 20 45.9% 2994 3073 -79 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
14 Milan 37 17 20 45.9% 3170 3209 -39 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
15 Partizan 36 15 21 41.7% 2887 3080 -193 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
16 Paris 37 15 22 40.5% 3343 3371 -28 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
17 Virtus 36 13 23 36.1% 2949 3118 -169 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
18 Baskonia 36 12 24 33.3% 3160 3320 -160 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
19 Anadolu 36 11 25 30.6% 2844 2985 -141 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
20 ASVEL 36 8 28 22.2% 2820 3083 -263 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
================================================================================================
=== POSITION DISTRIBUTION ===
Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
OLY 75.0% 25.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VBC 25.0% 45.8% 22.9% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
RMB 0.0% 25.0% 45.8% 19.8% 8.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FBB 0.0% 0.0% 22.9% 35.4% 33.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
HTA 0.0% 4.2% 8.3% 22.9% 26.6% 15.1% 15.1% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0%
ZAL 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.6% 25.0% 18.9% 19.3% 11.8% 7.3% 2.1%
PAO 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 37.4% 20.6% 21.7% 17.2% 0.0%
ASM 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 10.9% 29.4% 35.0% 21.4% 1.7%
CZV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 8.3% 14.8% 14.1% 17.7% 20.1%
BAR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 22.7% 44.8%
DUB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 4.8% 13.8% 29.8%
MTA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6%
BAY 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
EA7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
PAR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
PBB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VIR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
KBA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
EFS 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
ASV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
לא נכון.
צריך להיות מעל מונאקו בתום העונה הסדירה. לצורך העניין אם סיימנו 8, ניצחנו בפלייאין ועפנו ברבע, ומונאקו סיימו 9, עלו מהפלייאין וזכו ביורוליג, אנחנו הבטחנו עונה נןספת
איך עוזר ניצחון של זלגיריס היום לחישוב הזה? מונאקו בעצמה הפסידה פעמיים לזלגיריס ב 22 הפרש מצטבר (אנחנו 24, דיי דומה)
קוד: בחירת הכל
=== Current status table ===
# Team GP W L Win% PF PA +/- Top 4 Top 6 Top 10
================================================================================================
1 Olympiacos 37 25 12 67.6% 3321 3068 253 Clinched Clinched Clinched
2 Valencia 37 24 13 64.9% 3323 3158 165 Clinched Clinched Clinched
3 Real Madrid 37 23 14 62.2% 3239 3074 165 Alive Clinched Clinched
4 Fener 37 23 14 62.2% 3033 2985 48 Alive Clinched Clinched
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 Hapoel 36 22 14 61.1% 3145 3018 127 Alive Alive Clinched
6 Zalgiris 36 21 15 58.3% 3136 2972 164 Alive Alive Clinched
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 Panathaniacos 37 21 16 56.8% 3217 3166 51 Eliminated Alive Clinched
8 Monaco 37 21 16 56.8% 3312 3197 115 Eliminated Alive Clinched
9 Crvena Zvezda 36 20 16 55.6% 3099 3049 50 Eliminated Alive Alive
10 Barcelona 37 20 17 54.1% 3072 3078 -6 Eliminated Eliminated Alive
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
11 Dubai 37 19 18 51.4% 3239 3230 9 Eliminated Eliminated Alive
12 Maccabi 36 18 18 50.0% 3213 3298 -85 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
13 Bayern 37 17 20 45.9% 2994 3073 -79 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
14 Milan 37 17 20 45.9% 3170 3209 -39 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
15 Partizan 36 15 21 41.7% 2887 3080 -193 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
16 Paris 37 15 22 40.5% 3343 3371 -28 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
17 Virtus 36 13 23 36.1% 2949 3118 -169 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
18 Baskonia 36 12 24 33.3% 3160 3320 -160 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
19 Anadolu 37 12 25 32.4% 2929 3054 -125 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
20 ASVEL 36 8 28 22.2% 2820 3083 -263 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated
================================================================================================
=== POSITION DISTRIBUTION ===
Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
OLY 75.0% 25.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VBC 25.0% 45.8% 22.9% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
RMB 0.0% 25.0% 40.6% 24.0% 9.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FBB 0.0% 0.0% 22.9% 35.4% 33.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
HTA 0.0% 4.2% 8.3% 22.9% 26.6% 15.1% 15.1% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0%
ZAL 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 11.5% 15.6% 26.0% 20.8% 14.6% 6.2% 0.0%
PAO 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 30.2% 21.4% 22.9% 14.1% 0.0%
ASM 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 10.9% 27.1% 37.0% 23.4% 0.0%
CZV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 8.3% 15.6% 17.7% 8.3% 37.0%
BAR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 43.2% 42.7%
DUB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 20.3%
MTA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
BAY 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
EA7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
PAR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
PBB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VIR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
KBA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
EFS 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
ASV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
מה בדיוק עשית כאן? הרי כמות התרחישים היא לא רק שתיים בחזקת מספר המשחקים, יש לך את ההפרשים שיכולים עדיין להיקבעמילפורד כתב: ↑10 אפריל 2026, 23:05הוספתי את היכולת לפתור בתים מרובעים כי הפריע לי בעין שלמכבי עוד היה 1.6% מהתרחישים שהם בפלייאין.קוד: בחירת הכל
=== Current status table === # Team GP W L Win% PF PA +/- Top 4 Top 6 Top 10 ================================================================================================ 1 Olympiacos 37 25 12 67.6% 3321 3068 253 Clinched Clinched Clinched 2 Valencia 37 24 13 64.9% 3323 3158 165 Clinched Clinched Clinched 3 Real Madrid 37 23 14 62.2% 3239 3074 165 Alive Clinched Clinched 4 Fener 37 23 14 62.2% 3033 2985 48 Alive Clinched Clinched ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5 Hapoel 36 22 14 61.1% 3145 3018 127 Alive Alive Clinched 6 Zalgiris 36 21 15 58.3% 3136 2972 164 Alive Alive Clinched ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7 Panathaniacos 37 21 16 56.8% 3217 3166 51 Eliminated Alive Clinched 8 Monaco 37 21 16 56.8% 3312 3197 115 Eliminated Alive Clinched 9 Crvena Zvezda 36 20 16 55.6% 3099 3049 50 Eliminated Alive Alive 10 Barcelona 37 20 17 54.1% 3072 3078 -6 Eliminated Eliminated Alive ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11 Dubai 37 19 18 51.4% 3239 3230 9 Eliminated Eliminated Alive 12 Maccabi 36 18 18 50.0% 3213 3298 -85 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated 13 Bayern 37 17 20 45.9% 2994 3073 -79 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated 14 Milan 37 17 20 45.9% 3170 3209 -39 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated 15 Partizan 36 15 21 41.7% 2887 3080 -193 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated 16 Paris 37 15 22 40.5% 3343 3371 -28 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated 17 Virtus 36 13 23 36.1% 2949 3118 -169 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated 18 Baskonia 36 12 24 33.3% 3160 3320 -160 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated 19 Anadolu 37 12 25 32.4% 2929 3054 -125 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated 20 ASVEL 36 8 28 22.2% 2820 3083 -263 Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated ================================================================================================ === POSITION DISTRIBUTION === Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- OLY 75.0% 25.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% VBC 25.0% 45.8% 22.9% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% RMB 0.0% 25.0% 40.6% 24.0% 9.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% FBB 0.0% 0.0% 22.9% 35.4% 33.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% HTA 0.0% 4.2% 8.3% 22.9% 26.6% 15.1% 15.1% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0% ZAL 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 11.5% 15.6% 26.0% 20.8% 14.6% 6.2% 0.0% PAO 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 30.2% 21.4% 22.9% 14.1% 0.0% ASM 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 10.9% 27.1% 37.0% 23.4% 0.0% CZV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 8.3% 15.6% 17.7% 8.3% 37.0% BAR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 43.2% 42.7% DUB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 20.3% MTA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BAY 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% EA7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PAR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PBB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% VIR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% KBA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% EFS 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% ASV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
הם לא.
מיקום העונה הסדירה זה אחרי הפלייאין וזה מה שקובעSegev כתב: ↑10 אפריל 2026, 23:01צריך להיות מעל מונאקו בתום העונה הסדירה. לצורך העניין אם סיימנו 8, ניצחנו בפלייאין ועפנו ברבע, ומונאקו סיימו 9, עלו מהפלייאין וזכו ביורוליג, אנחנו הבטחנו עונה נןספת
אין כמעט תרחיש שהדברים שונים
קוד: בחירת הכל
=== POSITION DISTRIBUTION ===
Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
OLY 75.0% 25.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VBC 25.0% 45.8% 22.9% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
RMB 0.0% 25.0% 35.4% 22.9% 14.6% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FBB 0.0% 0.0% 22.9% 31.2% 29.2% 16.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
HTA 0.0% 4.2% 8.3% 16.7% 25.0% 18.8% 16.7% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0%
ZAL 0.0% 0.0% 10.4% 22.9% 22.9% 27.1% 14.6% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
PAO 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 22.9% 20.8% 29.2% 18.8% 0.0%
ASM 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 27.1% 43.8% 22.9% 0.0%
CZV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 20.8% 14.6% 8.3% 39.1%
BAR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45.3% 40.6%
DUB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 20.3%
MTA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
BAY 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
EA7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
PBB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
PAR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
KBA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VIR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
EFS 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
ASV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
מזה התחלתי בצהריים , שכמות המשחקים הכללית בשילוב עם כמות המשחקים שההפרש המדוייק בהם ישפיע על התוצאות ירדו לכמות סבירה שאפשר להריץ את כל האפשרויות.